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Ecolint Campus des NationsMathematics
Ecolint Campus des NationsMathematics
Year 11 · 11.2 Probability

Pack A · Fluency

Name: _________________________________
Date: _________________ Class: ___________

Answer all questions. Show your working. Questions are grouped by challenge level.

BronzeQuestions 1–10
  1. 1.
    A fair die is rolled. Find P(score is even)P(\text{score is } even).
     
  2. 2.
    If P(A)=0.3P(A) = 0.3, find P(A′)P(A').
     
  3. 3.
    A bag contains 3 red and 5 blue counters. A counter is drawn at random. Find P(red)P(\text{red}).
     
  4. 4.
    A coin is tossed twice. Find P(two heads)P(\text{two heads}).
     
  5. 5.
    A spinner is spun 200 times. The result "red" came up 64 times. Estimate P( label)P(\text{ {label}}).
     
  6. 6.
    A two-way table shows: 25 fish, 35 no fish; 40 meat, 20 no meat. Of 60 respondents, what is P(meat)P(\text{meat})?
     
  7. 7.
    Two fair dice are rolled. Find P(sum=7)P(\text{sum} = 7).
     
  8. 8.
    From a Venn diagram with n(A)=12n(A) = 12, n(B)=9n(B) = 9, n(A∩B)=4n(A \cap B) = 4, n(U)=25n(U) = 25, find P(A)P(A).
     
  9. 9.
    A card is drawn at random from a standard 52-card pack. Find P( desc)P(\text{ {desc}}).
     
  10. 10.
    A spinner has outcomes Red, Blue, Green with P(R)=0.4P(R) = 0.4 and P(B)=0.35P(B) = 0.35. Find P(G)P(G).
     
SilverQuestions 11–20
  1. 11.
    Given P(A)=0.6P(A) = 0.6, P(B)=0.5P(B) = 0.5 and P(A∩B)=0.2P(A \cap B) = 0.2, find P(A∪B)P(A \cup B).
     
  2. 12.
    A bag has 5 red and 4 blue counters. Two are drawn without replacement. Find P(both red)P(\text{both red}).
     
  3. 13.
    A bag has 5 red and 4 blue counters. Two are drawn without replacement. Find P(one of each colour)P(\text{one of each colour}).
     
  4. 14.
    A two-way table shows: 14 pupils take French only, 8 take Spanish only, 10 take both, 18 take neither. A pupil is chosen at random. Given they take French, find P(Spanish)P(\text{Spanish}).
     
  5. 15.
    Events AA and BB are independent with P(A)=0.4P(A) = 0.4 and P(B)=0.3P(B) = 0.3. Find P(A∩B)P(A \cap B).
     
  6. 16.
    Given P(A∩B)=0.18P(A \cap B) = 0.18 and P(A)=0.45P(A) = 0.45, find P(B∣A)P(B \mid A).
     
  7. 17.
    A card is drawn from a standard 52-card pack. Find P(heart or spade)P(\text{heart or spade}) and say whether the events are mutually exclusive.
     
  8. 18.
    A spinner lands on red with probability 0.4. It is spun 3 times. Find P(at least one red)P(\text{at least one red}).
     
  9. 19.
    Of 100 students, 60 own a phone, 40 own a tablet, 30 own both. A student who owns a tablet is chosen. Find P(also owns a phone)P(\text{also owns a phone}).
     
  10. 20.
    AA and BB are independent with P(A)=0.5P(A) = 0.5 and P(B)=0.3P(B) = 0.3. Find P(A∪B)P(A \cup B).
     
GoldQuestions 21–30
  1. 21.
    A factory has two machines: M1M_1 makes 60%60\% of items with defect rate 2%2\%, and M2M_2 makes 40%40\% with defect rate 5%5\%. An item is picked at random. Find P(defective)P(\text{defective}).
     
  2. 22.
    Given P(A)=0.4P(A) = 0.4, P(B)=0.25P(B) = 0.25 and P(A∩B)=0.12P(A \cap B) = 0.12, determine whether AA and BB are independent.
     
  3. 23.
    Three fair coins are tossed. Find P(exactly k heads)P(\text{exactly {k} heads}).
     
  4. 24.
    A box has 5 red and 3 blue balls. Three are drawn without replacement. Find P(all three red)P(\text{all three red}).
     
  5. 25.
    In a survey, n(A)=24n(A) = 24, n(B)=20n(B) = 20, n(A∩B)=12n(A \cap B) = 12 and n(U)=50n(U) = 50. Find P(A∣B)P(A \mid B).
     
  6. 26.
    Given P(A∪B)=0.8P(A \cup B) = 0.8, P(B)=0.5P(B) = 0.5 and P(A∩B)=0.2P(A \cap B) = 0.2, find P(A)P(A).
     
  7. 27.
    2%2\% of a population has a condition. A test is positive for 90%90\% of those who have it, and falsely positive for 5%5\% of those who do not. Find P(positive test)P(\text{positive test}).
     
  8. 28.
    At a school, 40%40\% study French and 25%25\% study Spanish. Of those who study French, 30%30\% also study Spanish. Find P(F∩S)P(F \cap S).
     
  9. 29.
    Using the factory in G1 (Pack A: M1M_1 60%/2%, M2M_2 40%/5%; Pack B: M1M_1 70%/3%, M2M_2 30%/6%), find P(M1∣defective)P(M_1 \mid \text{defective}).
     
  10. 30.
    AA, BB, CC are mutually independent with P(A)=P(B)=P(C)=pP(A) = P(B) = P(C) = p. Find P(exactly one of A,B,C)P(\text{exactly one of } A, B, C) when p=13p = \dfrac{1}{3}.
     
PlatinumQuestions 31–40
  1. 31.
    A diagnostic test: 2% of a population has a condition, P(T+∣C)=0.9P(T^+ \mid C) = 0.9, P(T+∣C′)=0.05P(T^+ \mid C') = 0.05. Given a positive test, find P(C∣T+)P(C \mid T^+).
     
  2. 32.
    In a town, 30%30\% commute by bike; of cyclists 20%20\% are late, of non-cyclists 5%5\% are late. Find P(cyclist∣late)P(\text{cyclist} \mid \text{late}).
     
  3. 33.
    A bag has 4 red, 3 blue and 2 green balls. Two are drawn without replacement. Find P(second is red∣first is not red)P(\text{second is red} \mid \text{first is not red}).
     
  4. 34.
    A shooter scores with probability 0.60.6. How many shots so that P(at least one score)≥0.99P(\text{at least one score}) \geq 0.99?
     
  5. 35.
    A bag has 3 red, 2 blue and 1 green ball. Two are drawn without replacement. Find P(same colour)P(\text{same colour}).
     
  6. 36.
    P(A)=0.5P(A) = 0.5, P(B)=0.4P(B) = 0.4 and P(A∣B)=0.6P(A \mid B) = 0.6. Find P(A∪B)P(A \cup B) and decide whether AA and BB are independent.
     
  7. 37.
    A vaccine has 70% chance of being effective per person. Find P(exactly 3 of 5 benefit)P(\text{exactly 3 of 5 benefit}).
     
  8. 38.
    A four-digit code is formed using digits 1,2,3,4,51,2,3,4,5 without repetition. Find P(code is even)P(\text{code is even}).
     
  9. 39.
    Two fair dice are rolled. Given that the sum is even, find P(both dice show the same number)P(\text{both dice show the same number}).
     
  10. 40.
    In a group of 50, n(A)=30n(A) = 30, n(B)=20n(B) = 20 and n(A∪B)′=8n(A \cup B)' = 8. Find (a) n(A∩B)n(A \cap B), (b) P(A∣B)P(A \mid B).